EE Impact
politicalukrainemedium impact10/08/2026, 08:07:41Confidence 74/100

What is Ukraine’s 40-day campaign against Russia and has it worked?

Media reports discuss Ukraine's 40-day campaign against Russia, claiming it has shifted the initiative in the conflict. The report also suggests a change in President Zelenskyy’s relationship with former President Trump — not independently verified.

Claims & verification status

Highly likely

Ukraine's campaign resulted in attacks on at least 25 oil refineries and other oil and gas infrastructure facilities, knocking out a third of Russia’s oil refining capacity.

Attributed to: Source B
Highly likely

Ukraine carried out at least 200 attacks on tankers and cargo ships in the Black and Azov seas during the 40-day campaign.

Attributed to: Source B

+5 more claims on the 7-day Pro trial.

Impact analysis

What we know (verified)

  • Ukraine launched a campaign that included strikes on at least 20 Wildberries warehouses.
  • Ukraine's campaign resulted in attacks on at least 25 oil refineries and other oil and gas infrastructure facilities, knocking out a third of Russia’s oil refining capacity.
  • Ukraine carried out at least 200 attacks on tankers and cargo ships in the Black and Azov seas during the 40-day campaign.

Who claims what

  • Media reports discuss Ukraine's 40-day campaign against Russia, claiming it has shifted the initiative in the conflict — not independently verified.
  • The report suggests a change in President Zelenskyy’s relationship with former President Trump — not independently verified.
energylogisticsinsurancecommoditiesmanufacturing

Our assessment

If the reported claims about the campaign's success and a shift in conflict initiative are accurate, businesses with exposure to Russian energy, maritime shipping, or logistics…

Sources & evidence

articleThe Guardian(class A)original
articleMeduza (independent Russian, EN)(class B)original
articleNewsAPI aggregator(class B)original